OBFA-TRANSFORM
OBFA Transform Background

The Political Economy of Financing Large-Scale Transformations

Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in Wars, Reconstruction, and the Green Transition

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What is OBFA-TRANSFORM?

The transition to a net-zero carbon emission economy is the defining challenge of our age. In spite of a wide range of technical solutions available to drive this transition, one aspect remains unclear: where should the money come from to pay for it?

The OBFA-TRANSFORM project is a six-year research project funded, by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and based at the Global Climate Forum in Berlin. It studies the political economy of large-scale transformations through the lens of off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies in wars, reconstruction, and the Green Transition.

About OBFA Transform Online Tool

Objectives

We apply our conceptual framework through historical case studies which examine the financing of politically desired large-scale transformations during the 20th century. We map the transformation of historical monetary architectures during these financing processes, concentrating on the key role played by off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies (OBFAs).

Analyze the financing of past large-scale transformations

Key concepts

Monetary architecture

Monetary architecture

A methodology to represent historically specific monetary and financial systems as a web of balance sheets that interlock through credit instruments.

Off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies

Off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies

Public-private institutions whose activities combine traces of monetary and fiscal policy. They can play a critical role to steer monetary architectures in large-scale transformations.

Macro-financial governance process

Macro-financial governance process

The systemic financing of a large-scale transformation requires an initial balance sheet expansion, long-term funding, backstopping against financial instability, and eventually a final contraction of balance sheets.

The triad of taxation

The triad framework

The 'triad' of taxation, government borrowing, and central bank money creation is the conventional way to think about the policy options a state has to finance large-scale transformations. However, it misses out on the critical role of off-balance-sheet fiscal agencies.

Case studies

War finance

War
finance

OBFAs played a pivotal role in financing military expenditure in North America and Europe throughout the 20th century. Setting up OBFAs not only enhanced credit money creation at an unprecedented scale but also transformed the monetary architectures for good.

Reconstruction finance

Reconstruction
finance

Post-war reconstruction efforts required massive financial coordination between public and private sectors. OBFAs emerged as crucial intermediaries in channeling resources for rebuilding infrastructure and economic systems.

Green Transition finance

Green Transition
finance

Modern climate finance leverages OBFA structures to mobilize capital for renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure projects, creating new monetary architectures for environmental transformation.

Team

Dr Steffen Murau portrait

Dr. Steffen Murau

Principal Investigator

Dr. Armin Haas

Dr. Armin Haas

Senior researcher

Dr. Andrei Guter-Sandu

Dr. Andrei Guter-Sandu

Senior associate researcher

Friederike Reimer

Friederike Reimer

Doctoral researcher

Publications

Theorie der monetären Architektur und die Rolle des Staates in der Finanzierung der "grünen Transformation"

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Leviathan. Berliner Zeitschrift für Sozialwissenschaft - (2025)

Steffen Murau, Armin Haas, Andrei Guter-Sandu

Encumbered Security? Vertical and Horizontal Repos in the Euro Area and Their Inherent Ambiguity

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Journal of Financial Regulation - (2025)

Steffen Murau, Alexandru-Stefan Goghie, Matteo Giordano

Shadow Money in the History of Monetary Thought

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Review of Political Economy - (2025)

Steffen Murau, Tobias Pforr

Working Paper Series

OBFA-TRANSFORM
Working Paper Series

The OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper Series publishes ongoing research output by the group that applies the Monetary Architecture framework and the OBFA concept on various contemporary and historical subjects.
No. 12-EN

Securitising System Costs. The United Kingdom’s Arm’s-Length Derisking Regime for the Green Transition

Andrei Guter-Sandu
November 2025
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No. 11-EN

A Silent Revolution in the Suburbs. Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in U.S. Mortgage Finance, 1932-1981

Olan McEvoy, Fanny Chaltiel, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Steffen Murau
September 2025
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No. 10-EN

Mind the MacMillan Gap: Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in Britain's Post-War Industrial Financing, 1945-1973

Olan McEvoy, Moritz Kapff, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Steffen Murau
September 2025
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No. 9-EN

From Stabilisation to Strategic Mobilisation. The Exchange Equalisation Account as a Wartime Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agency, 1932-1945

Andrei Guter-Sandu, Olan McEvoy, Verena Gradinger, Steffen Murau
September 2025
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No. 8-EN

Après le Déluge. Managing Balance Sheet Contraction after the First World War

Armin Haas, Verena Gradinger, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Steffen Murau
September 2025
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No. 7-EN

All Quiet on the Fiscal Front? Off-Balance-Sheet Fiscal Agencies in the German War Economy, 1914-1918

Armin Haas, Olan McEvoy, Andrei Guter-Sandu, Steffen Murau
July 2025
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The Green Transition—a politically desired large-scale transformation of physical capital stock to reach net-zero carbon emissions—is the greatest challenge of our age. We broadly know what technically needs to happen, but one question remains unsettled: Where should the money come from to pay for it?

DATASET

online

repository

The repository comprises datasets related to papers of the OBFA-TRANSFORM Working Paper series. This comprises polished data for plots and tables used in the papers as well as raw data related to the general context. The data has been compiled based on a wide range of different sources.

bg-online-tool

TRANSFORMATION OF THE EUROZONE ARCHITECTURE

Crises and Institutional Change in the Offshore US-Dollar System

What does the online tool do?

  • Make the Monetary Architecture framework interactive and visualize dynamic change in a web of interlocking balance sheets with a time-shift function

  • Explain how credit instruments form a self-referential system by tracing on which balance sheets they are held as assets or liabilities

  • Convey how monetary architectures are historically specific and subject to permanent transformation

Photo gallery